Karlshamn 3-1 Lödde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.2pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.3pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.2pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lödde EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.25/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.97
+19% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlshamn
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lödde
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Lödde 2-2 HT 1-1 Karlshamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Karlshamn vs Lödde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlshamn beat Lödde 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 19% / 38% — and on the day Karlshamn made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Karlshamn vs Lödde?

Karlshamn 3-1 Lödde in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs Lödde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlshamn win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 43%, draw 19%, Lödde 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlshamn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlshamn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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