29/09/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Karlshamn vs Lödde Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
19%
Draw
25%
38%
Away Win
30%
42%
Under 2.5
41%
58%
Over 2.5
59%
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
51%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karlshamn v Lödde — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Karlshamn
EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lödde
EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-11% /
-11%
2.25/1.08
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.42/1.97
+19%
/
+34%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-6%
/
-6%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
17
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
294 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
403 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Karlshamn vs Lödde Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Karlshamn
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Lödde
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
11
1
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Karlshamn vs Lödde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Karlshamn beat Lödde 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 19% / 38% — and on the day Karlshamn made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Karlshamn vs Lödde?
Karlshamn 3-1 Lödde in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs Lödde?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karlshamn win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 43%, draw 19%, Lödde 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlshamn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Karlshamn)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4
More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
29 Sep 2024