Jarfalla 3-1 Enköpings SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
55%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
29%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
55%
Away Win
46%
+8.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Enköpings SK EU Bookmakers 50%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.22/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.86
+42% / +136% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +80%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarfalla
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Enköpings SK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2024 Enköpings SK Enköpings SK 2-1 HT 0-0 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
21.08.2021 Jarfalla Jarfalla 2-1 HT 1-1 Enköpings SK Enköpings SK İSÇ4
10.07.2021 Enköpings SK Enköpings SK 1-1 HT 1-0 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Jarfalla vs Enköpings SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarfalla saw off Enköpings SK 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Enköpings SK at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jarfalla and 1.33 for Enköpings SK.

What was the final score of Jarfalla vs Enköpings SK?

Jarfalla 3-1 Enköpings SK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarfalla vs Enköpings SK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Enköpings SK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Jarfalla 21%, draw 24%, Enköpings SK 55%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Enköpings SK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Enköpings SK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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