Vanersborgs FK 2-4 Stenungsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Jun 2026

📅18/06/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.8pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 36%
-26% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.46/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.59
-23% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stenungsund
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 0
27.09.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
25.05.2024 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-3 HT 0-2 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
13.10.2023 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-1 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
16.06.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
13.08.2022 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-3 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
23.04.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund beat Vanersborgs FK 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vanersborgs FK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vanersborgs FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 0.67 for Stenungsund.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?

Vanersborgs FK 2-4 Stenungsund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 43%, draw 23%, Stenungsund 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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