HK Kopavogur 1-2 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.9pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
1.36/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.88
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
24.02.2024 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-2 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
14.08.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-0 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
11.06.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 3-1 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
07.03.2020 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
01.05.2018 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-2 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZK
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri edged past HK Kopavogur 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Thor Akureyri found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thor Akureyri led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HK Kopavogur and 1.50 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs Thor Akureyri?

HK Kopavogur 1-2 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a HK Kopavogur win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 37%, draw 28%, Thor Akureyri 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HK Kopavogur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HK Kopavogur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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