Port Melbourne 0-2 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.1pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.7pp
46%
Away Win
59%
-12.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.51/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.93/1.27
+24% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
193 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 Passes 455
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 5-1 HT 2-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
13.07.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-1 HT 2-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
13.04.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 3-0 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
24.06.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.03.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-6 HT 1-2 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
18.06.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-2 HT 0-2 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder beat Port Melbourne 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dandenong Thunder as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Port Melbourne and 1.67 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder?

Port Melbourne 0-2 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dandenong Thunder win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 24%, draw 30%, Dandenong Thunder 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dandenong Thunder), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dandenong Thunder) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
18 Jul 2025
00:00 Modbury Jets vs White City Woodville Analysis →
12:30 Sydney II vs Western Sydney W. II Analysis →
12:30 Green Gully vs Heidelberg United Analysis →
13:15 Oakleigh Cannons vs Hume City Analysis →
13:30 Preston Lions vs Melbourne Knights Analysis →
13:45 West Torrens Birkalla vs Adelaide United II Analysis →