Port Melbourne 3-0 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.02/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.40
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.7 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 Passes 416
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.06.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.03.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-6 HT 1-2 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
18.06.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-2 HT 0-2 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
19.03.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.06.2021 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-2 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
27.03.2021 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-1 HT 1-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Melbourne cruised past Dandenong Thunder 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Port Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Port Melbourne and 0.83 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder?

Port Melbourne 3-0 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 48%, draw 24%, Dandenong Thunder 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Melbourne), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Port Melbourne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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