Fluminense vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Fluminense
BR1
0-3
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BRK
2-1
HT 1-1
Cruzeiro
BRK
Fluminense 0-2 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro beat Fluminense 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Fluminense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Fluminense had 69% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 31%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 1.42 to 0.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fluminense.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fluminense and 0.50 for Cruzeiro.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Cruzeiro?
Fluminense 0-2 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Cruzeiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 44%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fluminense) went the other way.