Montpellier 0-2 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2025

Montpellier
0-2 HT 0-1
Rodez
📅18/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Montpellier vs Rodez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.53
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
12%
4.77
X/2
14%
7.9
X/X
9%
5.94
2/1
8%
20.95
2/2
14%
5.43
2/X
7%
14.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier v Rodez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez beat Montpellier 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Rodez?

Montpellier 0-2 Rodez in the Friendlies on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 43%, draw 22%, Rodez 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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