Ried 2-1 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2025

Ried
2-1
Energie Cottbus
📅18/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Ried vs Energie Cottbus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.46
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 25% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ried v Energie Cottbus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 34%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-78% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Ried vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried edged past Energie Cottbus 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Ried vs Energie Cottbus?

Ried 2-1 Energie Cottbus in the Friendlies on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ried 42%, draw 25%, Energie Cottbus 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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