Rennes 2-3 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2025

Rennes
2-3 HT 0-2
Brest
📅18/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Rennes vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
5.38
2-3 Goals
35%
2.04
4-5 Goals
22%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
6.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.38 — our 31% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.32
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
11%
11.65
X/1
11%
6.05
X/2
10%
6.69
X/X
12%
5.58
2/1
10%
23.3
2/2
12%
3.88
2/X
7%
11.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.7pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rennes v Brest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest EU Bookmakers 38%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.74/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.76
+11% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +85%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Rennes vs Brest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brest
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
390 Passes 300
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
19.10.2024 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
28.04.2024 Rennes Rennes 4-5 HT 2-1 Brest Brest FR1
02.09.2023 Brest Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
03.06.2023 Brest Brest 1-2 HT 1-2 Rennes Rennes FR1
31.08.2022 Rennes Rennes 3-1 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest edged past Rennes 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rennes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rennes and 1.67 for Brest.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Brest?

Rennes 2-3 Brest in the Friendlies on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rennes 41%, draw 30%, Brest 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rennes), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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