Brest 1-1 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 Oct 2024

Brest
1-1 HT 0-0
Rennes
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.05
6+ Goals
11%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.76
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.4
X/2
8%
5.58
X/X
14%
4.15
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.94
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.24/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.33
-12% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
23.2 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rennes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
296 Passes 406
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Rennes Rennes 4-5 HT 2-1 Brest Brest FR1
02.09.2023 Brest Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
03.06.2023 Brest Brest 1-2 HT 1-2 Rennes Rennes FR1
31.08.2022 Rennes Rennes 3-1 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
06.02.2022 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
15.08.2021 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
1-1
AWAY Rennes
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
356 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Brest vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest and Rennes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brest at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brest had 56% of the ball to Rennes's 44%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brest and 2.00 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Brest vs Rennes?

Brest 1-1 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Brest 41%, draw 28%, Rennes 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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