PSG 4-2 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.02
2-3 Goals
36%
2.2
4-5 Goals
32%
2.46
6+ Goals
15%
4.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.25
X/1
14%
3.76
X/2
6%
18.3
X/X
6%
8.96
2/1
8%
19.25
2/2
8%
12.2
2/X
6%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.3pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.6pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
2.24/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.74
+24% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
482 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
15.6 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
4W-2D-0L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.11 xG 1.35
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
642 Passes 287
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
21.10.2023 PSG PSG 3-0 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
27.05.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
28.12.2022 PSG PSG 2-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
29.04.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-3 HT 1-1 PSG PSG FR1
14.08.2021 PSG PSG 4-2 HT 3-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
4-2
AWAY RC Strasbourg
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
492 Passes 378
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH PSG vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG saw off RC Strasbourg 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PSG had 55% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 45%, shots finished 18-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for PSG and 1.33 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of PSG vs RC Strasbourg?

PSG 4-2 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split PSG 61%, draw 20%, RC Strasbourg 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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