Saint-Etienne 0-2 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 19 Oct 2024

Saint-Etienne
0-2
Lens
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Saint-Etienne vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.7
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
7%
16.55
X/1
10%
11.35
X/2
13%
3.82
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1 EV+
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.94
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+10.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saint-Etienne v Lens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.03/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.92
-11% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +31%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 85%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
15.5 Crosses 24.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Saint-Etienne vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lens
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
307 Passes 368
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.01.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-2 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
15.08.2021 Lens Lens 2-2 HT 1-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
03.03.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-3 HT 1-2 Lens Lens FR1
03.10.2020 Lens Lens 2-0 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
21.07.2018 Lens Lens 0-1 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne HAZ
06.02.2015 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-3 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1

Saint-Etienne 0-2 Lens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
0-2
AWAY Lens
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
250 Passes 500
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs Lens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens saw off Saint-Etienne 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 36% of the ball to Lens's 64%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saint-Etienne and 2.00 for Lens.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Lens?

Saint-Etienne 0-2 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Lens?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 28%, draw 24%, Lens 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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