Rennes vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rennes v Brest — Team-Based Signals
Rennes vs Brest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Rennes
FR1
1-2
HT 1-2
Rennes
FR1
3-1
HT 0-0
Brest
FR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Brest
FR1
Rennes 1-2 Brest — Actual Match Statistics
Brest edged past Rennes 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Rennes at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rennes had 68% of the ball to Brest's 32%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.46 to 0.99 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rennes.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rennes and 1.33 for Brest.
What was the final score of Rennes vs Brest?
Rennes 1-2 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rennes vs Brest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rennes 47%, draw 30%, Brest 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.