Lyon vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lyon v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals
Lyon vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Toulouse
FR1
1-2
HT 1-1
Lyon
FR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Toulouse
FR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Toulouse
FR1
Lyon 0-0 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics
Lyon and Toulouse fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Lyon at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Lyon had 62% of the ball to Toulouse's 38%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.74 to 1.23.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Lyon and 0.83 for Toulouse.
What was the final score of Lyon vs Toulouse?
Lyon 0-0 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lyon vs Toulouse?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lyon 50%, draw 26%, Toulouse 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.