Real Sociedad 2-0 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2025

Real Sociedad
2-0 HT 2-0
Pau
📅18/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Real Sociedad vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.05
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
19%
4.55
X/2
10%
11.65
X/X
9%
5.05
2/1
11%
24.2
2/2
9%
9.2
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Pau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.77/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-58% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +93%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Real Sociedad 2-0 Pau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
2-0
AWAY Pau
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad beat Pau 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 55% of the ball to Pau's 45%, shots finished 7-5.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Pau?

Real Sociedad 2-0 Pau in the Friendlies on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 52%, draw 22%, Pau 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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