Montpellier 0-2 Rodez Aveyron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.23
Over Pick
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez Aveyron The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Rodez Aveyron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez Aveyron beat Montpellier 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Rodez Aveyron?

Montpellier 0-2 Rodez Aveyron in the Friendlies on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Rodez Aveyron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 44%, draw 22%, Rodez Aveyron 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✗ Over 2.5
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