Auxerre 2-1 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2025

Auxerre
2-1
Orleans
📅18/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Auxerre vs Orleans Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auxerre v Orleans — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Auxerre vs Orleans Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Orleans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
19.07.2024 Orleans Orleans 1-1 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre HAZ
POST-MATCH Auxerre vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auxerre squeezed past Orleans 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auxerre as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Auxerre vs Orleans?

Auxerre 2-1 Orleans in the Friendlies on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 45%, draw 26%, Orleans 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auxerre), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auxerre) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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