Riga Mariners 4-2 JDFS Alberts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.5pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.3pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 45%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/1.25
-33% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
356 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners got the better of JDFS Alberts 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 18% / 43% — and on the day Riga Mariners made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts?

Riga Mariners 4-2 JDFS Alberts in the Latvia - 1st Division on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts?

Before kick-off our model rated an JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Riga Mariners 38%, draw 18%, JDFS Alberts 43%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JDFS Alberts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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