Tukums II 1-2 Skanste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.0pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.2pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Skanste EU Bookmakers 52%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.44/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.00
+10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tukums II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Skanste
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2 Corners 8
15.06.2024 Tukums II Tukums II 1-3 HT 0-1 Skanste Skanste LET1
27.08.2023 Skanste Skanste 3-0 HT 0-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
30.04.2023 Tukums II Tukums II 1-2 HT 0-2 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste nicked a narrow win over Tukums II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Skanste as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Skanste led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tukums II and 2.67 for Skanste.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs Skanste?

Tukums II 1-2 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Skanste?

Before kick-off our model rated an Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 29%, draw 20%, Skanste 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skanste), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skanste) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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