Ogre United 3-1 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.9pp
14%
Away Win
14%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe EU Bookmakers 17%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
4.41/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.50
+79% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ogre United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marupe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.07.2024 Marupe Marupe 3-2 Ogre United LET1
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United got the better of Marupe 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ogre United as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs Marupe?

Ogre United 3-1 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ogre United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 63%, draw 23%, Marupe 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ogre United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ogre United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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