Alloa Athletic 2-2 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
13%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
52%
+3.5pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.50/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/3.00
-19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / -48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Stranraer
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
12.08.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 2-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCK
07.04.2018 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
24.02.2018 Stranraer Stranraer 1-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
23.12.2017 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
14.10.2017 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
29.04.2017 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic and Stranraer shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Alloa Athletic carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.00 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?

Alloa Athletic 2-2 Stranraer in the Scotland - League Cup on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 56%, draw 18%, Stranraer 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5
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