Gold Coast United 0-1 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.91
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
73%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
14%
-2.0pp
15%
Draw
18%
-2.5pp
73%
Away Win
68%
+4.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 72%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.72/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.17
+14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
212 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.1 Crosses 24.5
3.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Queensland Lions
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2026 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-0 HT 0-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
09.08.2025 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 0-2 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
18.05.2025 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 4-2 HT 2-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
04.08.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 2-2 HT 1-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
28.04.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 3-2 HT 1-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
15.07.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 2-0 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast United vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions edged past Gold Coast United 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gold Coast United and 1.50 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Gold Coast United vs Queensland Lions?

Gold Coast United 0-1 Queensland Lions in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast United vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast United 12%, draw 15%, Queensland Lions 73%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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