Moreton City Excelsior 2-2 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
50%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
40%
-14.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
50%
Away Win
38%
+12.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.9pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 42%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
2.94/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.30
+63% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
425 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.8
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Peninsula Power
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
18.04.2026 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-4 HT 0-1 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVSQ
17.06.2025 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-2 HT 0-1 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVSQ
10.05.2025 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-3 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
01.09.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 4-3 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
10.08.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 1-3 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
11.05.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior and Peninsula Power shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Peninsula Power at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Moreton City Excelsior and 1.67 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?

Moreton City Excelsior 2-2 Peninsula Power in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 25%, draw 25%, Peninsula Power 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peninsula Power) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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