Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Peninsula Power v Moreton City Excelsior — Team-Based Signals
Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Moreton City Excelsior swept aside Peninsula Power 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Peninsula Power at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Peninsula Power and 2.00 for Moreton City Excelsior.
What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Peninsula Power 1-4 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 44%, draw 22%, Moreton City Excelsior 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peninsula Power) went the other way.