Peninsula Power 0-2 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 17 Jun 2025

📅17/06/2025 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.12/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +64%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
366 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.05.2025 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-3 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
01.09.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 4-3 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
10.08.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 1-3 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
11.05.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior beat Peninsula Power 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Peninsula Power at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Peninsula Power and 2.00 for Moreton City Excelsior.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Peninsula Power 0-2 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 45%, draw 23%, Moreton City Excelsior 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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