Crystal Palace 5-1 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.6pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-28% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
430 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 64%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Swindon Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.01.2007 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town FAK
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Swindon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace swept aside Swindon Town 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Swindon Town?

Crystal Palace 5-1 Swindon Town in the Friendlies on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Swindon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 62%, draw 19%, Swindon Town 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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