Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 34% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.44/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.33
-15% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Eibar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.90 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
245 Passes 292
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Eibar Eibar 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves HAZ
08.06.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
03.06.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
04.02.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
20.11.2022 Eibar Eibar 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
01.05.2021 Eibar Eibar 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1-1
AWAY Eibar
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves and Eibar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.67 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Eibar?

Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Eibar in the Friendlies on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 43%, draw 29%, Eibar 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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