Marino De Luanco 1-2 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
6.35
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
13%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.4pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-10.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 70%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.05
-100% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 481 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
20.07.2024 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon HAZ
23.07.2014 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
1-2
AWAY Sporting Gijon
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon squeezed past Marino De Luanco 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 4-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Marino De Luanco and 1.50 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Sporting Gijon?

Marino De Luanco 1-2 Sporting Gijon in the Friendlies on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 15%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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