Racing Santander 1-1 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
2.78
6+ Goals
9%
8.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 32% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.0pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.92/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.09
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
20.07.2019 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander HAZ
30.01.2014 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
22.01.2014 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3-1 HT 2-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İSPK
28.04.2012 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS1
18.12.2011 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
20.03.2011 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
1-1
AWAY Real Sociedad
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander and Real Sociedad shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Racing Santander and 1.67 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad?

Racing Santander 1-1 Real Sociedad in the Friendlies on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 27%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Sociedad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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