18/07/2026
·
01:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
25%
Draw
23%
22%
Away Win
16%
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
43%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nacional
EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY
Montevideo Wanderers
EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-2%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-7%
/
-14%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
347 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
255 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.6
Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Nacional
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Montevideo Wanderers
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
57%
Ball Possession
43%
18
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
3
4
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
03.05.2021
Nacional
2-0
HT 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URUSK
2-0
HT 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URUSK
Nacional 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Nacional
1-2
AWAY
Montevideo Wanderers
12
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Target
6
10
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
3
FAQ
Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Montevideo Wanderers edged past Nacional 2-1 away from home in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-1.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.
On the day, shots finished 12-11.
What was the final score of Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Nacional 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nacional 53%, draw 25%, Montevideo Wanderers 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Nacional)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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URU
More Uruguay - Premier League
18 Jul 2026