CA Penarol 3-0 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.53/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.68
-18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Boston River
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.03.2026 Boston River Boston River 0-2 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
16.08.2025 Boston River Boston River 2-1 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
16.02.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
20.10.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
20.04.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 1-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
06.02.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
3-0
AWAY Boston River
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol cruised past Boston River 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CA Penarol and 0.67 for Boston River.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Boston River?

CA Penarol 3-0 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 57%, draw 21%, Boston River 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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