Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
Progreso 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso edged past Deportivo Maldonado 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Maldonado at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 6-18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progreso and 1.17 for Deportivo Maldonado.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Progreso 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Progreso 31%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maldonado 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) went the other way.