Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Progreso v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Progreso 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso found just enough to beat Deportivo Maldonado 1-0.
A gentle 46% lean on Deportivo Maldonado didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (55%) landed.
On the day, Progreso had 35% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 65%, shots finished 6-18.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progreso and 1.17 for Deportivo Maldonado.
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Result & Final Score
Progreso 1 - 0 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Progreso 24%, draw 30%, Deportivo Maldonado 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado), BTTS Yes went the other way.