Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Maldonado v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Maldonado got the better of Progreso 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Deportivo Maldonado made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 57% of the ball to Progreso's 43%, shots finished 17-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.50 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?
Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 38%, draw 25%, Progreso 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.