Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 Progreso — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 18:29
Match Result
Home
37%
2.39
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
33%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
58%
1.65
Over
42%
2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.94
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Deportivo Maldonado The Market 42%
Signal
AWAY Progreso The Market 37%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Progreso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-2 HT 2-0 Progreso Progreso URU
21.07.2024 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
31.03.2024 Progreso Progreso 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
21.10.2021 Progreso Progreso 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
24.06.2021 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 HT 0-1 Progreso Progreso URU
02.03.2021 Progreso Progreso 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
2 - 0
AWAY Progreso
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Deportivo Maldonado put daylight between themselves and Progreso 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Deportivo Maldonado made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (58%) landed.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 57% of the ball to Progreso's 43%, shots finished 17-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.50 for Progreso.

Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso Result & Final Score

Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 37%, draw 30%, Progreso 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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