Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting edged past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Defensor Sporting found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 52% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 48%, shots finished 8-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.17 for Defensor Sporting.
What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting?
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 38%, draw 25%, Defensor Sporting 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) went the other way.