Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Largo v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
Cerro Largo 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Montevideo Wanderers edged past Cerro Largo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Cerro Largo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro Largo had 46% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 54%, shots finished 13-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.83 for Montevideo Wanderers.
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Cerro Largo 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 42%, draw 28%, Montevideo Wanderers 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.