Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nacional de Football v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Montevideo Wanderers edged past Nacional de Football 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Nacional de Football at 64% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.74, roughly 57%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.33 for Montevideo Wanderers.
Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers Result & Final Score
Nacional de Football 1 - 2 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 64%, draw 22%, Montevideo Wanderers 14%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional de Football), BTTS No went the other way.