Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 3-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
Nacional de Football 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football got the better of Montevideo Wanderers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 53% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 47%, shots finished 14-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.33 for Montevideo Wanderers.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Nacional de Football 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 59%, draw 25%, Montevideo Wanderers 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.