Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
61%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.82
Over 2.5
38%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
61%
Away Win
64%
-3.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
51%
+11.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
49%
-11.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.7pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 69%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
0.66/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.70
-19% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
16.09.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
03.03.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
27.11.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 3-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
25.04.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
21.08.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0-0
AWAY Nacional de Football
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers and Nacional de Football played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nacional de Football at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 47% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 53%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 2.33 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football?

Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 18%, draw 21%, Nacional de Football 61%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
27 Oct 2025
03:00 Miramar Misiones vs Boston River Analysis →