Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montevideo Wanderers v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 3-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Montevideo Wanderers and Nacional de Football played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nacional de Football at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 47% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 53%, shots finished 11-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 2.33 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football?
Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 18%, draw 21%, Nacional de Football 61%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.