Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 3-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
2-2
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
Nacional de Football 3-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football beat Montevideo Wanderers 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 58% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 42%, shots finished 15-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.50 for Montevideo Wanderers.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Nacional de Football 3-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 58%, draw 23%, Montevideo Wanderers 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.