Torque 0-1 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torque EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.22/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.06
+4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torque
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 Torque Torque 2-2 HT 1-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URUK
14.10.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
06.06.2023 Torque Torque 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
04.03.2023 Torque Torque 0-3 HT 0-2 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
14.08.2022 Torque Torque 0-2 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
19.02.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-3 HT 1-2 Torque Torque URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torque
0-1
AWAY Defensor Sporting
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torque vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting edged past Torque 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Defensor Sporting made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Torque had 51% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 49%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torque and 1.83 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Torque vs Defensor Sporting?

Torque 0-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torque vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torque 38%, draw 28%, Defensor Sporting 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Torque) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torque) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
27 Apr 2025
02:15 Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers Analysis →
19:00 Boston River vs Miramar Misiones Analysis →
21:15 Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Analysis →