Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Progreso v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Progreso 0-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) put daylight between themselves and Progreso 2-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 52%.
The match data tells the story: Liverpool FC (Montevideo) saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 13-9.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Progreso against 1.83 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).
Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Result & Final Score
Progreso 0 - 2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Progreso 22%, draw 25%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.