Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
1-3
HT 0-2
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
0-4
HT 0-1
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
Progreso 0-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) got the better of Progreso 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Progreso had 48% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 52%, shots finished 13-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progreso and 1.83 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).
What was the final score of Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Progreso 0-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Progreso 23%, draw 26%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.