Boston River 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.43/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.99
+26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
192 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.70 xG 0.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
169 Passes 236
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
12 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2026 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo CSA
13.09.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
10.09.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 Boston River Boston River URUK
23.05.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
22.03.2025 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
27.11.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-2 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
0-1
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo nicked a narrow win over Boston River 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boston River had 51% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 49%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boston River and 1.17 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Boston River 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Boston River 33%, draw 25%, Racing Club Montevideo 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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