CA Penarol vs Boston River Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Boston River — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Boston River Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
2-1
HT 2-0
Boston River
URU
1-0
HT 1-0
Boston River
URU
CA Penarol 1-1 Boston River — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol and Boston River shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CA Penarol at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.
On the day, CA Penarol had 57% of the ball to Boston River's 43%, shots finished 12-5.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CA Penarol and 0.33 for Boston River.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Boston River?
CA Penarol 1-1 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Boston River?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 59%, draw 23%, Boston River 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No went the other way.