Defensor Sporting 2-0 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
1.44/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.04
+21% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.10.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URUK
14.09.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
22.06.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
02.03.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 HT 1-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
11.11.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
03.04.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
2-0
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting got the better of Racing Club Montevideo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Defensor Sporting made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 52% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 48%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.50 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Defensor Sporting 2-0 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 39%, draw 28%, Racing Club Montevideo 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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