Progreso vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Progreso v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Progreso 1-5 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football cruised past Progreso 5-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-3. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, Nacional de Football saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 10-21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Progreso against 1.50 for Nacional de Football.
Progreso vs Nacional de Football Result & Final Score
Progreso 1 - 5 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Progreso vs Nacional de Football Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Progreso 11%, draw 17%, Nacional de Football 72%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.