Defensor Sporting 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.6pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 34%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+147% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
22.06.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
02.03.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 HT 1-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
11.11.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
03.04.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
07.09.2022 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
1-0
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting nicked a narrow win over Racing Club Montevideo 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Defensor Sporting made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 48% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 52%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.50 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Defensor Sporting 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay Cup on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 39%, draw 30%, Racing Club Montevideo 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →