CA Penarol 2-0 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.49/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.26
+7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Boston River
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 1-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
06.02.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URUK
02.09.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
16.07.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-1 HT 2-0 Boston River Boston River URU
20.02.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
13.10.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-1 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
2-0
AWAY Boston River
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol saw off Boston River 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, CA Penarol had 45% of the ball to Boston River's 55%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CA Penarol and 0.67 for Boston River.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Boston River?

CA Penarol 2-0 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 43%, draw 29%, Boston River 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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