Cerro 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

Cerro
1-1
Racing Club Montevideo
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Cerro vs Racing Club Montevideo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerro v Racing Club Montevideo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -19%
0.86/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.89
-27% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Cerro vs Racing Club Montevideo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
07.12.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
25.06.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
16.05.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
28.08.2022 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU2
14.10.2021 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU2

Cerro 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-1
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro and Racing Club Montevideo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club Montevideo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cerro had 51% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 49%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cerro and 0.50 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Cerro 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cerro 28%, draw 29%, Racing Club Montevideo 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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