Boston River 0-2 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 26 Mar 2026

📅26/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.4
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
64%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
28%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
15%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
64%
Away Win
61%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 66%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
0.85/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.84
+10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -10%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
208 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CA Penarol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Boston River Boston River 2-1 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
16.02.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
20.10.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
20.04.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 1-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
06.02.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URUK
02.09.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
0-2
AWAY CA Penarol
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boston River vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol beat Boston River 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Boston River had 43% of the ball to CA Penarol's 57%, shots finished 7-24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Boston River and 1.67 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Boston River vs CA Penarol?

Boston River 0-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Boston River 14%, draw 22%, CA Penarol 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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